After record-high demand in 2022-2023, Batumi real estate market experienced a slowdown in 2024. This decline can be attributed to several factors, including a gradual outflow of migrants, rising prices, high interest rates, and domestic political instability. Despite these challenges, Batumi’s real estate market remains one of the highest-yielding in comparison to many peer cities, and prices continue to rise, albeit at a slower pace. We expect prices to stabilize at current levels in 2025 and see upside potential if interest from foreign buyers increases further.
In September 2024, demand for real estate continued to improve. Prices in September increased slightly by 0.1% m/m after 0.3% m/m increase in August. On the supply side, the volume of construction permits has stabilized in the last two months, although it still remains lower by 23.6% y/y, partially reflecting last year's high base. The dynamics of permit issuance are expected to remain steady through the end of 2024, with future trends determined by the strength of demand.