In Nov-24, based on official registrations, real estate transactions in Tbilisi increased by 6.5% y/y, reaching 3,513 units. A real-time survey of developers also indicates a rebound in demand in November, with apartment sales up 12.3% m/m and flat y/y. Additionally, primary market prices in November rose slightly by 0.4% m/m, reaching $1,312 per square meter. On the supply side, the area of construction permits increased by 74.3% y/y in November, continuing growth after a decline in June-September period.
In October 2024, based on official registrations, transactions in Tbilisi increased by 12.8% y/y and 6.3% m/m, reaching 3,750 units. However, a real-time survey of developers indicates a slowdown in demand. Sales among selected developers in Tbilisi fell by 10.9% m/m and by 11.8% compared to 4M24 average, period of strong sales. This decline is attributed to domestic political instability. Additionally, primary market prices in October rose slightly by 0.3% m/m, reaching $1,307. On the supply side, the volume of construction permits increased by 55.8% y/y, reversing a previous four-month decline.
In September 2024, demand for real estate continued to improve. Prices in September increased slightly by 0.1% m/m after 0.3% m/m increase in August. On the supply side, the volume of construction permits has stabilized in the last two months, although it still remains lower by 23.6% y/y, partially reflecting last year's high base. The dynamics of permit issuance are expected to remain steady through the end of 2024, with future trends determined by the strength of demand.